A strike at Boeing? An advantage for Airbus

Boeing (NYSE: BA) has been furiously negotiating with its machinist's union to avoid a strike vote by them that could come as early as September 3. Labor's greatest concerns is that Boeing has made a lot of money over the past several years, and workers have seen very little benefit from that.

According to Bloomberg, "The union says workers haven't had raises, except for cost-of-living increases, since 2004 and deserve to share in Boeing's $10.7 billion in profit since then." Boeing is taking the standard large company position: It cannot afford to sharply increase benefits without putting itself in jeopardy if its business slows.

Boeing might want to sharpen its pencil. A strike could cost it another delay for the launch of its new Dreamliner. It has already pushed back that date three times. Airline customers are so upset that some of them have asked for compensation. More delays could up the request for "damages" from carriers who still need the more fuel-efficient airplane.

The winner in a Boeing strike will probably be Airbus. It has had delays of some of its own products, including its huge A380 jumbo jet. But, most of those issues seem to be behind the European company. If Boeing can't deliver planes, Airbus can pick up market share.